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abstractpubmed· Abstract 2020· item PMID:32315282
Estimation of Coronavirus Disease Case-Fatality Risk in Real Time. We ran a simulation comparing 3 methods to calculate case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease using parameters described in previous studies. Case-fatality risk calculated from these methods all are biased at the early stage of the epidemic. When comparing real-time case-fatality risk, the current trajectory of the epidemic should be considered.