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abstractpubmed· Abstract 2020· item PMID:32168463

Case-Fatality Risk Estimates for COVID-19 Calculated by Using a Lag Time for Fatality. We estimated the case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease cases in China (3.5%); China, excluding Hubei Province (0.8%); 82 countries, territories, and areas (4.2%); and on a cruise ship (0.6%). Lower estimates might be closest to the true value, but a broad range of 0.25%-3.0% probably should be considered.